Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Rising Foreclosures

A rise in foreclosures

Foreclosures in some markets are on the rise, according to one survey of courthouse auctions. However, the numbers do not indicate a peak in foreclosure sales has been reached. "Despite months of slow sales, we've simply returned to prior levels, which to me indicates banks remain reluctant to aggressively foreclose despite the time it takes to foreclose being at or near record levels," said S. O'Toole, founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar. "And large inventories of properties [are] still scheduled for foreclosure sale." Foreclosure auction sales grew as much as 50% in some states during January as foreclosure moratoriums came to an end, sending hundreds of distressed properties back to the auction block, foreclosure data firm said Tuesday. "While the increase is significant, we've seen larger surges after moratoriums or delays have played out in the past," said O'Toole in an email. "For example in California after the delays caused by Senate Bill 1137 we saw a surge in N
otice of Default filings that far eclipsed any prior period.

That is not the case here." In Arizona, notice of trustee filings jumped 10.9% between December and January, the first increase recorded in six months. Foreclosure sales in Arizona also spiked with ForeclosureRadar recording a 56.2% rise in the number of homes sold back to the bank. The southwestern state also experienced a 52.7% increase in foreclosure sales to third-parties on a month-over-month basis in January. California — one of the state's hit the hardest by unemployment and falling real estate prices during the recession — saw its back-to-bank foreclosure sales jump 51.1% between December and January. Sales of foreclosed homes to third parties in California also rose 52.8%.

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Only 30% of Foreclosures on the Market

Only 30% of foreclosures on market

RealtyTrac Senior Vice President Rick Sharga said major banks currently hold
roughly 1 million REO, or homes repossessed through foreclosure, but only 30%
have actually made it onto the market. According to its year-end report,
foreclosure filings reached a new high in 2010 and should climb even higher this
year, possibly surpassing 4 million filings. And that's not counting the more
than 5 million delinquent loans that have yet to enter the initial stages of the
foreclosure process, Sharga said.

The major kink in the housing market's recovery, and for the macro economy
overall, is the work left to be done on homes currently in the foreclosure
process, those about to enter it and the amount of repossessed homes the banks
must shed. Striking a proper balance on how to mange this shadow inventory of
foreclosures is vital for the banks to show a healthy balance sheet while not
dumping too many distressed properties onto the market, further dragging down
home prices and values.

A recent study from Morgan Stanley showed the shadow inventory, those properties
facing imminent default, evolving from mostly subprime and Alt-A loans to
containing more prime loans as elevated unemployment levels have pushed more
homeowners behind on their mortgage. Analysts said that some 8 million
repossessions would need to be liquidated over the next five years before the
market stabilizes. Adding to the problem are recent issues the banks are having
processing the paperwork. In October, the banks had to hold up foreclosures to
refile affidavits signed improperly in many states, pushing more than 250,000
foreclosure cases into 2011.

Reports recently showed that the problem may have spread to the notices of
default as well. And in the 23 states where lenders must foreclose on a
homeowner through the court system, backlogs of cases have formed month-long
delays. A court clerk in Florida, one of the states with the longest
traffic jams, told him between 500,000 and 600,000 cases are yet to be heard.
Sharga said he's encouraged by the uptick in demand for REO's. "We've seen more
traffic on our site, and even more buyers raising their hand asking for help
from a Realtor," he said. "This means they're getting serious about buying
again." He also said that the most traffic comes from Southwestern states and
Florida.